Waterford have struggled to get going on their travels. Monday’s visitors come into this fixture as the not-so-proud owners of the eighth-worst away record in the division. Such a record stems from winning just two out of nine on the road, while losing five of the other seven certainly hasn’t helped.
From an attacking point of view, Waterford have often got involved, scoring 11 in nine away games, but they’ve let themselves down at the back far too much, shipping an average of 1.45. There a several teams with worse defensive records, though 16 goals conceded in 11 matches is nowhere near good enough if you’re not an overly powerful scoring side, which quite frankly, Waterford are not.
However, while Waterford have not covered themselves in glory on the road of late, they’ve not often been battered, so they may fancy themselves to keep things respectable at Oriel Park on Monday evening.
In the betting, ‘Dundalk to Win & Under 3.5 Goals’ looks a solid option. For all the hosts have more than enough quality to see off Waterford on Monday night, some of their recent efforts suggest that they can do so without running riot. Dundalk have scored more than three goals in just one of their last nine at Oriel Park. Add in the fact that the visitors have only conceded five in their last five on the road and backing the league leaders to win in low-scoring fashion makes plenty of sense.
It’s all been very easy for Dundalk, who’re currently top of the table, no less than eight points clear of the nearest pursuers. Having won each of their last eight (all competitions), Monday’s hosts will fancy themselves to gather another three points, especially as they’re up against a lowly Waterford side.
There’s still a long way to go, but as things stand, it looks as though Dundalk have already confirmed themselves as champions, such has been the level of dominance from Vinny Perth’s men.
Overall, Dundalk have been excellent, though they’ve been particularly impressive on home soil, winning nine, drawing two and losing none of their 11 matches at Oriel Park. Such form is hard to knock, as is the fact that they’ve scored 23 goals and conceded just six. Monday’s hosts have also kept a clean sheet in 55% of their games in front of a home crowd this season, which tells us that they’ve been anything but easy to get at.
Unfortunately for the hosts, they’re up against a visiting side that has been very good on the road. Only league leaders Dundalk have accumulated more points than Shamrock away from home this season. Having won seven of their 11 travelling matches, no team in the division has picked up more away wins than Shamrock, though the visitors have lost each of their other four on the road, so they’re not exactly infallible.
From a goal-scoring point of view, Shamrock, who’ve notched 15 in 11 on the road, have performed well away from the comforts of home, especially of late, as they’ve scored five in their last three travelling matches. However, they’ve not covered themselves in glory during that time, as they’ve shipped six goals in their last five away games.
In the betting, given the form of both in their recent home and away games, ‘Both Teams to Score’ appears to be slightly overpriced. Not only have St. Patrick’s and Shamrock scored in each of their last eight combined respective home and away games, but the pair shared no less than 2.58 expected goals for when they played each other at this venue back in March.
finishing in the top three is the goal, then St. Patricks are off the pace at present, though there is still time for them to fulfil their objective. A win in this fixture would close the gap, which is currently six points wide, but beating Shamrock, who currently sit 2nd, will be anything but easy.
Less than two months ago, it looked as though St. Patrick’s hopes of finishing in the top three were a thing of the past, though they’ve since rallied and are thus now back in the hunt. Monday’s hosts have avoided defeat in each of their last four league matches, while they’ve won each of their last two. Beating Finn Harps and UC Dublin isn’t exactly anything to shout about, though such wins will at least give the hosts confidence ahead of what is likely to be a testing encounter.
Up and down away from has often prevented them from getting seriously close to the top three, though St. Patrick’s efforts at home have been solid this season. Only two teams in Ireland’s Premier Division have accumulated more points at home than Harry Kenny’s men, who’ve won six, drawn three and lost three of their 12 matches at Richmond Park.
A lack of offensive power hasn’t exactly helped Monday’s hosts, who’ve scored just 11 goals in 12 home games, though they have at least defended well, shipping only ten goals in front of their own fans. What’s more, they’ve scored in each of their last four at home, conceding just twice during that time.
Bohemians come into this clash having just beaten second-placed Shamrock Rovers 2-1 in their last game. The visitors have also claimed wins over Finn Harps and Cork in that time. They’ve hit scoring form by firing in at least two goals in each game, while they head into this match a full 14 points clear of Waterford in the table.
There’s little doubt that the Bohs are the better of the two sides, especially given that they’ve won 11 of 21 games this term. Waterford have won just one of their last four at home, conceding twice to Derry City and three each to Dundalk and Sligo Rovers in that time. They’ve got clear defensive issues, while they meet a Bohs side who have kept a clean sheet in 60% of their away trips. That has us backing the visitors to claim the points on Friday night.
Will Bohemians continue their European chase on Friday night? They head south to Waterford this weekend, aiming to continue the chase for a top three finish and Europa League football. However, the Bohs had gone through a rough patch, leading to questions about their ability to keep the pace at the top of the table. That’s left the Dubliners attempting to show their talents, but can their recent turnaround survive this weekend’s visit to the Blues?
The hosts are set to miss out on European football, despite their top four finish last term. They had taken fourth spot, but UEFA rejected their bid for a European license. That allowed fifth-placed St Pats into the European mix, with their opening game in the Europa League coming early in July. Waterford’s chances of making it into Europe next term also seem slim, as they now sit down in eighth, just a place above the relegation slots. While they have a 19 point lead over ninth, Waterford have still fallen quite a way from last term.
Bohemians are chasing European football of their own after their title chase faded. They are in third as things stand, sitting 12 points off the top of the table. However, the Bohs do have a six-point lead over Derry City in fourth, so as things stand Keith Long’s team are on the right track. They have established that lead thanks to an improvement in form in recent weeks, as they’ve now won three matches on the bounce.
Derry have a solid away record this term, as they come into this clash with just two defeats in 11 away trips. They’ve lost just one of their last six matches in the league, but they’ve also only won once in that time. Too many draws has been an issue for the Candystripes so far, despite them moving into the top four in the league. Will they pick up a much-needed win in this clash, or are they set to struggle at a ground where they haven’t won in six visits.
Cork have only lost once in their last five games, with that loss coming against champions Dundalk. That 2-0 loss was the only time in their last five home games that Cork have conceded more than once. They’ve got a decent record at the back at home, conceding just a goal per game at their own ground. However, their big issue comes up front, where they’ve scored just seven times in nine home matches.
Overall, Cork have seen under 2.5 goals in 89% of their home games, while they’ve seen less than three goals in 11 straight league games. Given that 60% of Derry’s Premier Division clashes have finished with fewer than three goals scored, we can’t see this being a high scoring affair. We’re going with under 2.5 goals as our tip for this clash.