I am expecting a very tight and defensive approach by both teams in this match between Perth Glory and Adelaide which could cause a very low number of goals. Although both teams have seen over 2.5 goals scored in 4 of their last 6 head to head encounters here at Perth Glory's home, in their individual respective matches, it has been low in terms of goals - Perth Glory have seen under 2.5 goals scored in 4 of their last 6 league games and Adelaide have seen under too in 4 of last 6 games. Adelaide have seen under 2.5 goals scored in 6 of their last 7 away league games. So chances are there that it could be under 2.5 goals.
However, on Friday they face a Perth Glory side who have won seven of their last nine at home, and their only defeats this season have come against A-League giants Sydney FC and Melbourne Victory. They have kept a clean sheet in six of their last seven on home soil too, so breaching their back line looks a very difficult task.
The A-League is usually a frenetic and goal filled league, but we’re expecting a more cagey affair here. Perth Glory, thanks to their excellent defensive record, have seen fewer than three goals in four of their last seven home games. Meanwhile, Adelaide United have only seen more than three goals in one of their last seven away days. This makes backing Under 2.5 Goals look a good value offering, along with a 2-0 win for the hosts.
Melbourne City lost the battle for the 5th place on Sunday when they fell 3-2 away at Wellington Phoenix. However, the loss won’t affect their place in the post season play-offs as they can’t be dropped out of top-six regardless of what happens in this final round of the regular campaign.
Anyhow, we can expect a strong showing from the hosts who clearly want to finish the season on a high with a comprehensive victory against the weakest outfit in the competition. Melbourne City are unbeaten in last 11 home outings in A-League.
Backing the home win in a high-scoring affair has to be the way to go based on everything written above.