Bayern are the best side in Germany, they’ve proved that once again, though some of their recent efforts on the road haven’t been overly impressive. Niko Kovač’s men drew away against Nurnberg last time out, and while they were the better side, they didn’t dominate as much as one might expect, as they emerged with an expected goal difference of +0.77. If they’re to get the better of the best home defence in the league, then Munich will need to do more.
Saturday’s visitors have also recently drawn away against Freiburg, while they faced a scare when narrowly winning (2-3) away at Augsburg prior to that. Such results show us that Bayern are not invincible.
When we look at the early betting, it’s rather simple to feel that Leipzig have been slightly overlooked. The hosts are no mugs; as touched on above, they’ve conceded far less goals at home than Bayern have on the road, while they’ve also lost less games. Bayern have a better expected goal difference on the road than Leipzig do at home, though the imbalance is far from great enough to warrant such a disparity in odds. Frankly, taking everything into consideration, Leipzig are fractionally too big and thus a bet on the hosts to gain a positive result represents value.
Bayern are the best side in Germany, they’ve proved that once again, though some of their recent efforts on the road haven’t been overly impressive. Niko Kovač’s men drew away against Nurnberg last time out, and while they were the better side, they didn’t dominate as much as one might expect, as they emerged with an expected goal difference of +0.77. If they’re to get the better of the best home defence in the league, then Munich will need to do more.
Saturday’s visitors have also recently drawn away against Freiburg, while they faced a scare when narrowly winning (2-3) away at Augsburg prior to that. Such results show us that Bayern are not invincible.
When we look at the early betting, it’s rather simple to feel that Leipzig have been slightly overlooked. The hosts are no mugs; as touched on above, they’ve conceded far less goals at home than Bayern have on the road, while they’ve also lost less games. Bayern have a better expected goal difference on the road than Leipzig do at home, though the imbalance is far from great enough to warrant such a disparity in odds. Frankly, taking everything into consideration, Leipzig are fractionally too big and thus a bet on the hosts to gain a positive result represents value.