St. Pauli vs Union Berlin tips Xgenius
St. Pauli have lost just twice at home this season, while they’re now unbeaten in four at Millerntor-Stadion. Overall, Markus Kauczinski’s men have done a pleasing job of creating more than they’ve given away at home; they’ve averaged 1.59 expected goals for and have surrendered an average of 1.24 expected goals. Moreover, they’ve scored twice on average per home match and have conceded 1.24 at the other end. Such numbers tell us that they’ve probably been lucky to score quite as many as they have, but they also tell us that St. Pauli are reasonably useful.
St. Pauli vs Union Berlin tips Erik Perrins 11
Prior to the winter break, St. Pauli looked in good shape. They got the better of Bochum, Furth and Magdeburg in quick succession, which allowed them to shoot up into a flattering position inside the top three. However, they lost when returning to action, which allowed Monday’s opponents, who beat Koln first game back, to overtake them in the table. That said, Union are only ahead of St. Pauli on goal difference, so Monday’s hosts won’t feel too disheartened, as a win here would see them regain third position.