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Lazio are out to get their Serie A campaign back on track, after back to back league defeats. Losses to Napoli and Juventus have left them down in eighth, but they need to turn things around when they head to a struggling Frosinone side on Monday. They did put in a strong display against the champions in their last league outing, which carried into their midweek success in the Coppa Italia. A penalty shootout win over Inter was a morale boost for the Aquile.
Frosinone certainly don’t seem like difficult opponents right now, given that they’re on the fast track to Serie B. They come into this clash second from bottom, picking up fewer points per game than any other side in the division. They’ve also got the league’s worst home record, so it’s no surprise that their push for survival isn’t going so well.
I expect the favourites to claim another win, but their away matches have been quite low scoring. They’ve seen fewer than three goals in 70% of their trips, while 90% have seen fewer than four goals.
The win away to Bologna was a big boost for Frosinone and they are now four points below the safety line in Serie A. It was only their first win in 11 matches and second in Serie A this season. No team has scored lesser than Frosinone’s tally this season and no team has conceded more than them; this says all about the quality they carry to the game. Both their wins in Serie A this season have come away from home and against struggling sides (Bologna and SPAL) and here they will have a real challenge to their survival credentials as they seek a first home win. It has been tough for Frosinone since their promotion at the start of the season and they have only managed five clean sheets in the 21 matches played. Their last win at home in Serie A came back in 2016 and it remains the only one in 17 matches. Lazio on the other hand, will be confident after eliminating Inter from the cup on post match penalties and will be gunning for their first win in four matches. They have not had a very good run lately and have posted just four wins in their last 15 matches; they are winless in the last three Serie A matches and have managed just two wins in 10 league games. It has also not been so rosy for them away from home in the league, as they have one win in the last five and that came against the struggling Bologna. This will be only the fourth meeting between the two sides in history; Frosinone have never beaten Lazio. The first three have ended in two wins for Lazio and a draw.