At home during the Nations League, Bulgaria averaged a measly 0.38 expected goals for, though they only conceded 0.64. Similarly, on their travels in that competition, Kosovo averaged 0.97 expected goals for, while they surrendered an average of just 0.45. Add in the fact that the pair conceded a combined average of just 0.83 goals and ‘Under 1.5 Goals’ is hard to avoid.
There probably aren’t occasions where ‘Under 1.5 Goals’ represents value at the current odds, though this game appears to break the mould in that respect. All things considered, supporting the goals to stay away in Levski is the best option.
At home during the Nations League, Bulgaria averaged a measly 0.38 expected goals for, though they only conceded 0.64. Similarly, on their travels in that competition, Kosovo averaged 0.97 expected goals for, while they surrendered an average of just 0.45. Add in the fact that the pair conceded a combined average of just 0.83 goals and ‘Under 1.5 Goals’ is hard to avoid.
There probably aren’t occasions where ‘Under 1.5 Goals’ represents value at the current odds, though this game appears to break the mould in that respect. All things considered, supporting the goals to stay away in Levski is the best option.