Genoa are seven points above the relegation zone and have been on a bad run for a fair while now. They only have one win in their last 13 league games losing seven of them. That's after starting the season with four wins from their first six games. Four of their last six home league games have ended in draw and their only win was at home to Atalanta. Three of their last four home league games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them. AC Milan are fifth in the table and only a point off the Champions League places. They return to Italy after losing 1-0 to Juventus in the Italian Super Cup that was held in Saudi Arabia. Only one of their last seven leagu matches have been lost and that was a1-0 home loss to Fiorentina. On the road, they have only two wins in their last ten league games and need to improve on that if they do want to be in the Champions League next season. Their last two away league games have both ended in goalless draws and seven of their last eight have had under 2.5 goals scored in them. Genoa aren't scoring too many either, so the tip here is for under 2.5 goals to be scored.
Eibar’s last victory in any competition was that remarkable 3-0 win over Real Madrid in late November. They were truly outstanding that day and any kind of relegation fears looked so distant given the ease with which they beat the European champions. Their performances haven’t been terrible since in truth and they have drawn 5 of their subsequent 7 games. Even their 3-0 defeat at Barcelona last week wasn’t a fair reflection on the game with Eibar actually creating more expected goals than their opponents. Espanyol’s form and in many cases performances has been more cause for concern. They’ve lost 7 of their last 8 in La Liga heading into this one. They did come through a Copa del Rey last 16 tie against Villarreal on Thursday night but benefited from their relegation-threatened opponents effectively throwing the towel in with a much weakened team. In terms of the outcome here, the hosts to look the more likely winners but they will need to deal with Borja Iglesias. The Espanyol striker is having a fine debut season with the Catalan club, scoring 9 times already in La Liga. He also bagged a brace in the cup on Thursday and should be full of confidence heading into this so backing Iglesias to score anytime could be worth considering. Certainly this is a game that has the potential to serve up goals. 70% of Eibar’s home league games this term have seen both teams score. They will see this as a game they really need to win so we should see the hosts play positively from the off and it’s worth noting they have only failed to net on one occasion at home this term in La Liga.