Genoa are seven points above the relegation zone and have been on a bad run for a fair while now. They only have one win in their last 13 league games losing seven of them. That's after starting the season with four wins from their first six games. Four of their last six home league games have ended in draw and their only win was at home to Atalanta. Three of their last four home league games have had under 2.5 goals scored in them. AC Milan are fifth in the table and only a point off the Champions League places. They return to Italy after losing 1-0 to Juventus in the Italian Super Cup that was held in Saudi Arabia. Only one of their last seven leagu matches have been lost and that was a1-0 home loss to Fiorentina. On the road, they have only two wins in their last ten league games and need to improve on that if they do want to be in the Champions League next season. Their last two away league games have both ended in goalless draws and seven of their last eight have had under 2.5 goals scored in them. Genoa aren't scoring too many either, so the tip here is for under 2.5 goals to be scored.
The visitors hardly have a high scoring record already, having scored 10 times in their nine away trips this season. They’ve picked up just 11 points on the road, winning only twice. That’s largely down to their lack of goals, as they’ve got an excellent defensive record. They’ve drawn five times in nine trips, conceding only eight goals. They should be able to keep up that record against a Genoa side who have lost a vital part of their team. Meetings between these two sides have been typically low-scoring. Eight of the last 10 meetings at this ground have seen fewer than three goals scored. The Grifone have seen low scoring draws in three of their last four here, while Milan have seen fewer than three goals in their last five away trips. I expect this clash to be tight, so we’re backing under 2.5 goals when these two sides meet without their first choice forwards.