The only previous occasion of West Brom losing the first leg of a play-off semi-final came against Swansea City in the third-tier play-offs in 1992-93 (1-2), progressing 3-2 on aggregate courtesy on a 2-0 victory in the second leg at the Hawthorns.
Ilves seen to mean business this season, not just in the league. Since the turn of the year, they've not been defeated on home soil in a competitive game. They're solid at the back on don't give the opposition too many chances. In contrast Marienhime have been wobbly on the road. They do attack but concede 1.8 goals/game that's a lot in this league. With Ilves' organisation and intensity I think they should get a win and keep the pressure on HJK at the top. Fingers crossed.
In summary, Cadiz have scored more goals, conceded less goals, while they average more expected goals for and have conceded less expected goals on average at home than Osasuna have on the road.
From a betting point of view, ‘Cadiz to Win & Under 3.5 Goals’ catches the eye. Osasuna are the league leaders, but Cadiz’s home efforts this season, when considered in conjunction with Osasuna’s away-day exploits, tell us that they’ve got a slightly greater chance of recording a low-scoring win than the current prices suggest.