Uruguay did have a mini-wobble in the group stage, that came in a clash with Japan. They clearly underestimated their youthful Japanese side, which saw them fall to a 2-2 draw in their second clash. However, victories over Ecuador and Chile showed exactly what Uruguay are capable of on their day, so we have faith in them to secure a semi-final spot in Bahia on Saturday night.
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16Uruguay Win • 1.76
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Spain U21 Win • 1.97
The heavyweight semi-final at the Under 21 European Championships on Thursday pits together Spain and France. The Spanish are regular contenders at this competition, while France have made it for the first time in the last seven tournaments. Les Bleus are coming off their senior side winning the world cup, but do they have another steady stream of young talent behind their current world champions?
Spain are looking at the Under 21 side as part of a wider rebuild. They are trying to retool their senior side, which was allowed to drift with too many old stars carried over. Ten years ago the Spanish were ruthless about including the very best talent and only picking players who were getting minutes. They need a new batch of stars for the future, which can be seen in this Under 21 side.
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Ghana Win • 1.7
Ghana are worthy favourites to win this clash, as they are shaping up to be a side to watch at the tournament. While issues around Asamoah Gyan’s attitude could hit them down the line, it’s a happy camp at this early stage. They made it through their group by winning to nil in all but one of their games, while they have kept three straight clean sheets heading into this clash.
We see Benin struggling to adapt here, especially given their record at this tournament. They’ve qualified on three previous occasions for the 16-team tournament – ranking 16th, 15th and 14th overall in terms of their results. Benin have lost eight of their nine matches at this competition in the past, so we see value in backing the perennial contenders to claim a victory.
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Tunisia Win • 1.75
Can Tunisia make the perfect start to their Africa Cup of Nations campaign when they meet Angola this week? The North African side were impressive at the 2018 World Cup, pushing England and finishing up third behind two sides who went on to make the semis. They’re set to battle for top spot in this group alongside Mali, so Tunisia will need to take an early victory from their clash with Angola on Monday.
Tunisia have changed boss since their World Cup displays, as Alain Giresse has taken over aiming to build on their results in Russia. We saw their talented side last year, while they have certainly changed their style from the expected, functional side. Instead, Tunisia are creating attacking players, including Youssef Msakni of Qatar’s Al-Duhail, who is expected to impress after missing out on the World Cup last summer. Could he be the key to moving Tunisia forward this summer?
Angola had a golden period between 2006 and 2010, as they made the World Cup in Germany. They followed that with back to back quarter-final finishes in the Africa cup of Nations, including the 2010 tournament which they hosted. Since then it’s been a mix of failures to qualify or an inability to make it out of the group. Angola aren’t the side they once were, so we see Tunisia as worthy favourites for the points in this game.
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São Paulo Win • 4.333
I see Sao Paolo making the dream come true and beat Atletico on away win. Truly good forwards of the visiting team are able to meke 3-2 or 3-1
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Draw • 6.1
The visitors scored in three of their final four away trips in World Cup qualifying, while since then they’ve kicked on in the Nations League. Meanwhile, Denmark have seen both teams score in their last three games, conceding two against Kosovo and three to Switzerland. While the Danes are favourites, we can see their defensive issues being the problem here. That has us backing both teams to score in this encounter.
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Spain Win • 1.029
Now the Spanish are unlikely to face a major test until the tournament, as they have an incredibly winnable group. However, the Spanish did start off their qualifying campaign with a couple of understated victories. Following a 1-0 success over Bosnia, they beat Spain 2-1 and Malta 2-0. They were solid results, but nothing spectacular. However, the format of this qualifying group means that the Spanish don’t really have to push themselves to make it to the Euros.
The Faroes scored just four goals in the previous qualifying campaign, conceding only 16. Their games were rarely thrillers, which could point to another straightforward victory for the away side. Spain scored the majority of their goals at home on the way to the 2018 World Cup, while they conceded 0.3 goals per game in their previous campaign. That has us backing under 3.5 goals in this clash, along with a win for the Spanish.
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Liverpool Win And Total Over 2.5 Yes • 2.875
It is going to be extremely close to call. Both sides will go for it and it could end up either way, open and exciting, but Liverpool, the favourites, should shade it.
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Copenhagen Win • 1.44
Skov and N’Doye have scored fifty league goals between them for Copenhagen this season, while Olsen has impressed for Nordsjaelland with twenty-one Superliga goals. We’re confident that Copenhagen will win and that over 2.5 goals will be scored on Saturday, and have predicted a final scoreline of 3-0. Copenhagen have the home advantage, are the form favourites, and have outperformed Nordsjaelland in all departments so far this season, which is why we’re expecting a convincing victory for the hosts.
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Draw • 3.8
Not only have Basel conceded a reasonable amount on their travels, but they’ve also struggled to keep Thun at bay whenever the pair have met. This will be the fifth time the teams have faced each other this season. The previous four meetings have yielded zero clean sheets. In those four games, Thun have notched seven goals, while Basel have scored eight.
Interestingly, the last two league meetings between this pair yielded expected goals totals of 3.94 and 3.7.
Taking everything into account, especially the way that each side has performed against the other this season, ‘Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score’, which has returned a profit in three of the four renewals of this fixture (this season), makes plenty of appeal at the current prices.
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Club Brugge Win • 1.76
In truth, the season is over for Brugge and Antwerp, so it’s won’t be a surprise if both teams are below their best, though it’s easy to feel that the hosts will be more fired up to end on a high. The visitors have had nothing to go at for a while, which has shown in some of their recent games. In contrast Brugge will surely want to treat their home fans to a big win after their away-day disappointment last time out.
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Draw • 3.26
It may be a concern for Sunderland fans that their team lost 3-1 away to Pompey just before Christmas, but they will also feel their turn is due having been beaten on penalties by Kenny Jackett’s side in the Checkatrade Trophy final.
Portsmouth finished three points ahead of the Black Cats in the final league table and there has not been much between the clubs all season.
Another tight affair looks on the cards here and that should suit Sunderland, who are backed to hang on to their aggregate advantage and progress to a Wembley showdown with either Doncaster or, more probably, Charlton.
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Liverpool Win And Total Under 2.5 Yes • 4.2
If Man City go ahead early, Liverpool have got to just get this game out of their memory, get it out of the way. They might need to get in front early doors, but if Man City go 2-0 up, they've got to start thinking about the game in three weeks in my opinion. Wolves will be dangerous, but there's no place like Liverpool. It'll be a hard game for them, though.
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Desportivo Aves or Draw • 1.3
AVES and MOREIRENSE are going nearly equal strong into this match. The result at the end of the game seems to be completely open. We see a small advantage for the home team but we cover the bet with a draw to keep the risk as low as possible.
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Unfortunately for the hosts, they’re up against a visiting side that has been very good on the road. Only league leaders Dundalk have accumulated more points than Shamrock away from home this season. Having won seven of their 11 travelling matches, no team in the division has picked up more away wins than Shamrock, though the visitors have lost each of their other four on the road, so they’re not exactly infallible.
From a goal-scoring point of view, Shamrock, who’ve notched 15 in 11 on the road, have performed well away from the comforts of home, especially of late, as they’ve scored five in their last three travelling matches. However, they’ve not covered themselves in glory during that time, as they’ve shipped six goals in their last five away games.
In the betting, given the form of both in their recent home and away games, ‘Both Teams to Score’ appears to be slightly overpriced. Not only have St. Patrick’s and Shamrock scored in each of their last eight combined respective home and away games, but the pair shared no less than 2.58 expected goals for when they played each other at this venue back in March.