If we include the penalty win over Paris, Lens have won their last five matches with eleven goals scored along the way, largely thanks to their 5-2 drubbing of Orléans. Lens had the third best defensive record in Ligue 2 this season but they have kept just two clean sheets in their last seven matches which isn’t exactly top flight quality. Lens have quite a good record at home though which could give them a great advantage as they have lost just one of their last ten games at the Stade Bollaert-Delelis. Six of these ten matches ended in wins for Lens and they could make it seven in eleven if they play their cards right here.
Lens beat Orléans 5-2 in their last home match but this was quite the freak incident as they had scored just the solitary goal in the four games previous. Nevertheless we think Lens will get the win here as they have kept clean sheets in six of their last nine home games. Dijon have failed to score in seven of their last eight away games so we’re going to back this one to end 1-0 to Lens.
Dijon have been battling to stay in the division for another year and have been horrible this season so it’s no surprise that they finished 18th in the league. However, some expected Dijon to finish even lower than 18th and with them only securing this play-off via their final day beating of Toulouse (2-1) plus the help of Caen losing, they will go into this fixture with some wind in their sails following the drama of the final day.
Over the last few weeks Dijon have been susceptible to some very poor results with fellow relegation strugglers Caen beating them 1-0 a few weeks ago and average sides like Nantes thrashing them 3-0. However, Dijon have won four of their last eight matches with wins over Lyon, Rennes and Strasbourg being rather impressive feats alongside their Toulouse victory. Dijon have an absolutely horrible away record which could them back here though. They only picked up twelve of their 34 points this season on the road and with seven of their last eight away matches ending in defeat, Lens should fancy themselves here.
Lens have beaten Paris FC and ESTAC Troyes in the play-offs so far to get to this stage, which is quite the achievement considering that these opponents finished in 3rd and 4th above Lens in the table. Lens only finished 5th and in with a chance of a play-off promotion by having a better goal-difference than FC Lorient but they have made the most of the opportunity and completely deserve this two-legged affair with Dijon, despite only scraping past Paris and Troyes via penalties and extra-time.
Lens a réussi à se défaire du Paris FC lors du premier tour de barrage mais l'ESTAC ne s'est pas retrouvé à la troisième place par hasard : la deuxième partie de saison fut exceptionnelle et les Troyens semblent les plus à même de rivaliser avec le 18ème de Ligue 1 sur une double confrontation. Le 1 avec une belle cote de 2.6 !
Déjà victorieux lors du match aller, le Paris FC tentera de récidiver face à Grenoble. Souhaitant disputer les barrages d'accession à la Ligue 1, le club parisien se doit de prendre les trois points dans ce match.