Nurnberg do not have such a pretty looking record vs Hamburg but I will be backing Nurnberg on this. Honestly, Hamburg has been disspointing. They were expected to beat Darmstadt but only manage to draw. They were even expected to get promoted to top flight but squandered all their chances by drawing and losing games towards the 6-8 games of last season. Nurnberg still do have players who competed in top flight and they should have enough quality to overcome most of the teams when they play home. They have been relegated, it is painful, lesson learned. Stuttgart, Paderborn, Heidenheim, Hannover amd together with Hamburg, they should be the other ones all competing for the top 5 spots.
Stuttgart have to fight to stay in the German top flight after finishing third from bottom. The positive is that they didn’t suffer automatic relegation at least. They only picked up the seven wins across the course of the league campaign, but six of those were on home soil. So their best chance in this tie is going to be in this first leg at home. Their overall home record for the Bundesliga season was W6 D4 L1. Stuttgart averaged 1.29 goals per home game which is nothing to get excited about. The bigger problem is that they had the joint second-worst defensive record in the top flight.
Bochum is unbeaten in their last three home matches and won two of them as well. Their only h2h tie against this opponent saw them avoiding a loss, and avoiding conceding as well. Magdeburg, meanwhile, was winless in seven of their last nine fixtures, and in three of their last four on the road.
Bochum has the home advantage this time around, and they remained unbeaten against two teams from the top-five in the last three match-days. As such their confidence is high and will show against the lower-tier team. In addition, Magdeburg, who has no option but to go all-out-attack mode, due to the need of points, will be forced to leave gaps behind, which the hosts will take advantage of. Expect a win for the hosts.
Finally, the hosts, despite their upper hand, will have to deal with the desperation of Magdeburg. While the home team can easily take the three points on offer, a clean sheet will be extremely hard to achieve. Moreover, Bochum conceded in eight of their last ten home games, and Magdeburg scored in four of their last six. It’s logical to expect goals from both teams.