If Tranmere Rovers are to emerge victorious then one man who is undoubtedly going to have a big impact is star striker James Norwood. The 28-year-old finished as the league’s top scorer with 29 goals to his name in all competitions, and although he failed to score in the first leg, the fact that he had a number of very good chances means he is still finding the space and should be able to bag a goal this time around.
A quick glance at the odds and it immediately becomes apparent that the bookies fancy Forest Green Rovers to get the job done over 90 minutes and have priced the match accordingly. However, it is not an assessment that we agree with and when you consider the average home record of the hosts and the fact that they did not look all that threatening first time around, albeit with a man less for the majority of the game, then we think backing the visitors to get a win is the way to go. However, it is also important to note that Tranmere are a lot more open defensively on the road, so adding the safety net of the ‘Draw – No Bet’ looks to be a wise move to make.
The hosts are in excellent shape on home soil and have proven throughout the season that Field Mill is one of the toughest places in the league to come and get a result. However, their visitors have managed to find the back of the net in each of their 21 league matches and have the best away record in the division. With this in mind, I think that both will look to be positive and backing both teams to find the back of the net looks to be the best way to get a decent return from this contest.
Mansfield Town’s form is stuttering as the end of the season draws near and they are winless in two as they welcome leaders Lincoln City. However, their form on home soil remains as strong as ever and they go into this contest having won in each of their last five matches on home soil. The hosts know their chances at the title are now all but over but a win on Monday would lift them back into the automatic promotion places and ensure that they should have the required momentum to ensure they stay there until the end of the campaign. Lincoln City have won their last three League Two matches, conceding just one goal in the process and sit five points clear at the top. Although their form has been solid, it is worth noting that the calibre of opponents during those three matches has been pretty low and prior to this run, they had drawn five of the previous six outings. However, there is no doubting the class of the league leaders and the fact that they have the best away record in the division reflects the fact that they are usually superior to any side in the division and are not fazed by travelling to an opponents back yard.
Although the hosts should clearly be the favourites in this match, the head to head record is enough to put me off backing them in the win-draw-win market. Instead, I have considered that Forest Green average just a goal per game on home soil and have failed to score in three of their last five matches against Grimsby. This, combined with the fact that Grimsby have scored an average of just 0.79 goals per game on the road this term, leads me to believe that backing there to be less than 2.5 goals scored is the way to go in this fixture.
The football fixture list can be quite a hectic thing to organise, especially when you consider cup runs and the busy festive period. This Tuesday sees Yeovil Town and Lincoln City go head to head in a fixture which was originally supposed to take place back in November, and with both sides in need of the points for very different reasons, it promises to be an enthralling affair. Making the trip to Huish Park is a Lincoln City side who are flying high at the top of League Two at the moment and they know that if they are able to claim three points, then they will extend their lead at the top of the division to six points. A major part of their charge towards the League Two title has been their form on the road and the 24 point return they have managed from their 13 away matches represents the second best return in the division. When you throw in that they have the second best attack and the third best defence in the division, it is hard to make a case for them coming up short on Tuesday evening. Although Yeovil Town will come into this fixture with a renewed sense of confidence following their back to back victories, this match represents a clash which is a major step up in quality to the ones they emerged victorious in. Given that the visitors are available at a very healthy price, I think that backing them to get the three points represents the best opportunity for a profitable return.
Back to back defeats for Mansfield sees them on dodgy ground as a 1/2 favourite over 17th placed Crawley Town. Crawley managed a home win over 4th placed Colchester, whilst Mansfield slipped at home to 22nd placed Yeovil in their latest. At 13/2 the visitors could cause quite the upset here.