Spain have also hit eight goals in three qualifiers, while they scored eight goals across two home meetings in the Nations League. On top of that, the hosts qualified for Russia 2018 in high scoring style, hitting 22 goals across their five home matches, with at least three goals in each. We expect another strong display from the Spanish, who have won their last 13 home qualifiers. We’re backing them to make it 14 on the bounce, with over 2.5 goals to be scored in this clash.
The visitors have shipped five goals in three games in this campaign, but they’ve managed to save themselves with seven goals in return. They’ll need to be in scoring form again here, judging by their defensive record on the road. Romania have seen both teams score in six of their last seven games, having kept just one clean sheet in their last 10 trips.
Malta have conceded in their last 12 home games, shipping 30 goals in that time. While the hosts should fancy their chances of scoring in this one, we are backing Romania to fire in a couple of their own. We see another high scoring clash for the visitors in this clash, so we’re backing over 2.5 goals in Romania’s visit to Malta.
For all they outclassed Bulgaria, Czech Republic showed that when push comes to shove, they’re not strong at the back, which is something that was evident during the Nations League, where the Czech’s kept just one clean sheet in four games. If we add in the fact that Montenegro have looked weak at the back, but also got on the score-sheet against both Bulgaria and England, then a small bet on ‘Both Teams to Score’ starts to look like the most viable option, though this is by no means a game to get heavily involved in.
At home during the Nations League, Bulgaria averaged a measly 0.38 expected goals for, though they only conceded 0.64. Similarly, on their travels in that competition, Kosovo averaged 0.97 expected goals for, while they surrendered an average of just 0.45. Add in the fact that the pair conceded a combined average of just 0.83 goals and ‘Under 1.5 Goals’ is hard to avoid.
There probably aren’t occasions where ‘Under 1.5 Goals’ represents value at the current odds, though this game appears to break the mould in that respect. All things considered, supporting the goals to stay away in Levski is the best option.
They’re facing a Latvia side who lost seven in 10 in their last qualifying campaign. The hosts were beaten 3-0 by Israel and Georgia in their last two games here, while they’ve lost eight of their last 12 home games, which includes facing sides at their own level in the Nations League and friendlies. That points to home issues for Lativa, so we’re siding with the visitors in this clash.
Norway have their own defensive issues. They’ve conceded at least twice in every game in this qualifying group. The visitors have conceded a goal in four of their last five away games, while they struggled to keep a clean sheet in a poor World Cup qualifying group, only managing to shut out San Marino. We expect the visitors to have more defensive issues here, while the Faroes have scored in every game in this group so far. That has us backing both teams to score here.
Both teams did enough to get on the score-sheet when they met in the reverse fixture, and given the current prices, ‘Both Teams to Score’ looks a great bet ahead of this match. The Ukrainians proved their attacking credentials last time out, though Luxembourg, for all they’re not the strongest defensively, should not be underestimated from an attacking point of view. A repeat of any of their forward efforts in qualifying so far would surely be enough for the visitors to cause the hosts some problems, much as they did on home soil.
It’s going to be tough for Israel to land another win here, especially as they’re heading to a Poland side who have won their last nine home matches in qualifying campaigns. They’ve scored at least twice in their last eight home European Championship qualifiers, while they racked up 28 goals on their way to Russia at an average of 2.8 per game. That came with Robert Lewandowski topping the scoring charts, but he has a new rival this time around.
Eran Zehavi is the current top scorer in European qualifying, the Israeli striker has scored seven in three games, finding the opening goal in each of the group games so far. He’s helped Israel to a successful, high-scoring start. Given how Israel are playing along with Poland’s consistent home form, we can see a few goals in this clash. Poland to win with over 2.5 goals in the game is our tip here.